Moneyball - Complications Ensue
Complications Ensue:
The Crafty TV and Screenwriting Blog




Baby Name Voyager graphs baby name frequency by decade.

Social Security Administration: Most popular names by year.

Name Trends: Uniquely popular names by year.

Reverse Dictionary Search: "What's that word that means....?"

Facebook Name Trees Match first names with last names.


Archives

April 2004

May 2004

June 2004

July 2004

August 2004

September 2004

October 2004

November 2004

December 2004

January 2005

February 2005

March 2005

April 2005

May 2005

June 2005

July 2005

August 2005

September 2005

October 2005

November 2005

December 2005

January 2006

February 2006

March 2006

April 2006

May 2006

June 2006

July 2006

August 2006

September 2006

October 2006

November 2006

December 2006

January 2007

February 2007

March 2007

April 2007

May 2007

June 2007

July 2007

August 2007

September 2007

October 2007

November 2007

December 2007

January 2008

February 2008

March 2008

April 2008

May 2008

June 2008

July 2008

August 2008

September 2008

October 2008

November 2008

December 2008

January 2009

February 2009

March 2009

April 2009

May 2009

June 2009

July 2009

August 2009

September 2009

October 2009

November 2009

December 2009

January 2010

February 2010

March 2010

April 2010

May 2010

June 2010

July 2010

August 2010

September 2010

October 2010

November 2010

December 2010

January 2011

February 2011

March 2011

April 2011

May 2011

June 2011

July 2011

August 2011

September 2011

October 2011

November 2011

December 2011

January 2012

February 2012

March 2012

April 2012

May 2012

June 2012

July 2012

August 2012

September 2012

October 2012

November 2012

December 2012

January 2013

February 2013

March 2013

April 2013

May 2013

June 2013

July 2013

August 2013

September 2013

October 2013

November 2013

December 2013

January 2014

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

May 2014

June 2014

July 2014

August 2014

September 2014

October 2014

November 2014

December 2014

 

Saturday, October 28, 2006

"
I read Moneyball in about two days. Lewis's book is about how a few statistics-crazy amateurs invented a new system for analyzing who the most valuable baseball players really are and how to use them; and how it only took about 15 years for one team, the Oakland A's, to put the system into use. Most teams still aren't using it, though it's worth noting that the Red Sox finally broke the Curse of the Bambino when they did.

If only there were comparable statistics for show business. One suspects that one reason studios are so close to the vest about movie budgets and profits -- aside from it helps them keep the money -- is that they don't want people to know how dumb their decisionmaking really is. I've read many times that hiring expensive stars correlates negatively with profitable pictures. (Star vehicles make more money, but they cost way more money.) It's impossible for outsiders to tell how true that is, though somewhere in the heart of each studio there must be a gnome that knows. The star system continues because no one gets fired when they greenlight a Harrison Ford picture that tanks, but if your Nathan Fillion picture crashes, you're fired.

Of course as a creator I'm not primarily concerned with whether the studios make money. But if it so happens that you're better off spending money on writers than on stars, I think all of us here would like that to be well known. And possibly, even, acted upon.

4 Comments:

Of course as a creator I'm not primarily concerned with whether the studios make money...

Do you really want that statement out there, Alex? It seems a bit, "biting the hand that feeds."

As a writer, I want my financiers/clients to do well with my writing. I want them to succeed because in doing so, I succeed. Even if it's just a low budget contract job where I'm paid a flat fee. The publicity value alone is worth it.

If BON COP BAD COP tanked, you wouldn't have had as many PR opportunities as you've recently had would you? You wouldn't be able to tell people you were part of a movie hit, tell them you have two books on the shelf, and that you're available for work. Your agents certainly want your producers/studio to succeed because that means they have "an easier sell" with you next go around - you're the guy who wrote that hit Canadian movie.

By Blogger Bill Cunningham, at 8:16 PM  

While it may be merely a convenient smokescreen, Sumner Redstone said of Paramount's cutting ties with Tom Cruise something to the effect of: Paramount were paying too much to Cruise, that stars don't make a picture, the script does.

Would that he really believed this and that other suits felt the same way.

Ps. A hearty congrats to Lisa for the release of her book. As we'd say down here - hectic & cheers!

By Blogger African Den, at 2:08 AM  

I care whether the studios make money from, say, Serenity, because I want them to make more things that I like. They're not gonna do that if they don't think they're gonna make money off of it. If I want to be editing something more interesting than a fashion magazine someday, I want people to invest money in that more interesting material, so that they will want to give me some of it!

As a freelance magazine editor, I see making money for client as my primary goal. But the way I do this is to focus on the readers: create text that gives them what they want, that treats them with respect, and that they will want to read more of. The difference between crappy text and good text is worth money to my clients; that's what they're paying me for. But it's only worth so much money. It is not the only thing that sells a magazine. So (as you say) you have to ask, how much money does a good script make for a studio? Otherwise, you might as well just be making your own movies and distributing them on YouTube. Not that there's anything wrong with that. It's just a different... business model, that's all.

By Blogger Katya, at 10:52 AM  

Alex,

Here is a Yale study on screenplay sales. It is way over my head but you may get something out of it. link:

http://www.bus.emory.edu/finseminars/Papers/Avri%20Ravid%20Paper.pdf#search='ravid%20movie%20success%20script'

By Blogger Immigrant Soldier Program, at 3:46 PM  

Post a Comment

Back to Complications Ensue main blog page.



This page is powered by Blogger.